Forecast models for Chengdu indicate a daily maximum around 30–32°C on June 15 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with early-summer climatology where highs typically range 28–33°C before peak monsoon heating intensifies later in the season. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to suppress surface heating and convective development, keeping temperatures below historical extremes for mid-June. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional analyses shows no strong warming signal or clear-sky regime that would push readings toward 34°C or higher, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below. Updated short-range model runs and satellite observations of regional moisture patterns will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 62%
32°C 22%
33°C 10%
34°C 5.5%
$13,862 Vol.
$13,862 Vol.
31°C or below
62%
32°C
22%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 62%
32°C 22%
33°C 10%
34°C 5.5%
$13,862 Vol.
$13,862 Vol.
31°C or below
62%
32°C
22%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu indicate a daily maximum around 30–32°C on June 15 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with early-summer climatology where highs typically range 28–33°C before peak monsoon heating intensifies later in the season. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to suppress surface heating and convective development, keeping temperatures below historical extremes for mid-June. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional analyses shows no strong warming signal or clear-sky regime that would push readings toward 34°C or higher, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below. Updated short-range model runs and satellite observations of regional moisture patterns will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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