Current forecasts from models like those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C (about 87°F) for Chengdu on June 16, 2026, under overcast skies typical of the early monsoon transition in the Sichuan Basin. This supports the market's concentration on 27–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential light rain suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of 28–33°C. Recent observational trends show slightly cooler-than-average early June conditions across the region, with humidity and weak steering patterns limiting intensification. New model runs expected within 24–48 hours ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in the thermal profile or precipitation timing that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C ou moins 37%
28°C 23%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
27°C ou moins
37%
28°C
23%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
27°C ou moins 37%
28°C 23%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
27°C ou moins
$265 Vol.
37%
28°C
$93 Vol.
23%
29°C
$56 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$259 Vol.
5%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C
$492 Vol.
1%
34°C
$544 Vol.
1%
35°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou plus
$856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C (about 87°F) for Chengdu on June 16, 2026, under overcast skies typical of the early monsoon transition in the Sichuan Basin. This supports the market's concentration on 27–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential light rain suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of 28–33°C. Recent observational trends show slightly cooler-than-average early June conditions across the region, with humidity and weak steering patterns limiting intensification. New model runs expected within 24–48 hours ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in the thermal profile or precipitation timing that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$3,679Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C (about 87°F) for Chengdu on June 16, 2026, under overcast skies typical of the early monsoon transition in the Sichuan Basin. This supports the market's concentration on 27–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential light rain suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of 28–33°C. Recent observational trends show slightly cooler-than-average early June conditions across the region, with humidity and weak steering patterns limiting intensification. New model runs expected within 24–48 hours ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in the thermal profile or precipitation timing that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,679Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C (about 87°F) for Chengdu on June 16, 2026, under overcast skies typical of the early monsoon transition in the Sichuan Basin. This supports the market's concentration on 27–29°C outcomes, as cloud cover and potential light rain suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of 28–33°C. Recent observational trends show slightly cooler-than-average early June conditions across the region, with humidity and weak steering patterns limiting intensification. New model runs expected within 24–48 hours ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in the thermal profile or precipitation timing that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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