India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's highest temperature on May 15 at 40°C under mainly clear skies with light winds, driving the market-implied 97.5% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance from numerical weather prediction models and airport observations. Recent IMD bulletins dated May 13 confirm dry pre-monsoon conditions with highs building from 37–38°C mid-week, consistent with historical May averages around 40°C amid subsiding upper-level ridges favoring radiative heating but capping extremes. High-confidence short-range forecasts like these carry low uncertainty, though scenarios like an intensified heat low or minimal nocturnal cooling could realistically push toward 42°C; updated observations release post-sunset May 15.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 97.9%
42°C 1.9%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$14,520 Vol.
$14,520 Vol.
41°C or below
98%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 97.9%
42°C 1.9%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$14,520 Vol.
$14,520 Vol.
41°C or below
98%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's highest temperature on May 15 at 40°C under mainly clear skies with light winds, driving the market-implied 97.5% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus reflects this authoritative guidance from numerical weather prediction models and airport observations. Recent IMD bulletins dated May 13 confirm dry pre-monsoon conditions with highs building from 37–38°C mid-week, consistent with historical May averages around 40°C amid subsiding upper-level ridges favoring radiative heating but capping extremes. High-confidence short-range forecasts like these carry low uncertainty, though scenarios like an intensified heat low or minimal nocturnal cooling could realistically push toward 42°C; updated observations release post-sunset May 15.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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