National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper 80s across Miami, positioning the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets as the clear market leaders at 45.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features average highs near 85 °F under subtropical high pressure, but today’s light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are limiting stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread around these values, with any deviations likely tied to exact timing of cloud cover or brief showers. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 17 mai ?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 36%
84-85 °F 13%
90-91°F 6.4%
$28,338 Vol.
$28,338 Vol.
75 °F ou moins
<1%
76-77 °F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
3%
84-85 °F
13%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
6%
92-93 °F
1%
94°F ou plus
1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 36%
84-85 °F 13%
90-91°F 6.4%
$28,338 Vol.
$28,338 Vol.
75 °F ou moins
<1%
76-77 °F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
3%
84-85 °F
13%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
6%
92-93 °F
1%
94°F ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper 80s across Miami, positioning the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets as the clear market leaders at 45.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features average highs near 85 °F under subtropical high pressure, but today’s light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are limiting stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread around these values, with any deviations likely tied to exact timing of cloud cover or brief showers. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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