Latest forecast guidance from regional models points to daytime maxima in Tel Aviv on June 15 near the seasonal June average of 28–30 °C at Ben Gurion Airport, with limited diurnal heating expected under partly cloudy skies and a persistent Mediterranean sea breeze. This narrow range underpins the near-even market split between the 29 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (41 %) outcomes. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind direction, and shortwave radiation receipt can shift the daily peak by 1 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier cloud build-up would favor the lower bin. No major synoptic shift is indicated before resolution, keeping uncertainty confined to that single-degree threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 48%
28°C 44%
30°C 5.5%
27°C 3.6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
44%
29°C
48%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 44%
30°C 5.5%
27°C 3.6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
44%
29°C
48%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from regional models points to daytime maxima in Tel Aviv on June 15 near the seasonal June average of 28–30 °C at Ben Gurion Airport, with limited diurnal heating expected under partly cloudy skies and a persistent Mediterranean sea breeze. This narrow range underpins the near-even market split between the 29 °C (48.5 %) and 28 °C (41 %) outcomes. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind direction, and shortwave radiation receipt can shift the daily peak by 1 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier cloud build-up would favor the lower bin. No major synoptic shift is indicated before resolution, keeping uncertainty confined to that single-degree threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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