Current ensemble forecasts from regional models position Tel Aviv's June 16 maximum near 29–30°C, reflecting typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with high pressure, light sea breezes, and clear skies moderating daytime heating. These values align closely with June climatological averages of 28–30°C and recent observational trends showing no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Traders weigh small differences among leading outcomes against model spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution depending on official Israel Meteorological Service readings. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 38%
29°C 29%
31°C 14%
32°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
38%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 29%
31°C 14%
32°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
38%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models position Tel Aviv's June 16 maximum near 29–30°C, reflecting typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with high pressure, light sea breezes, and clear skies moderating daytime heating. These values align closely with June climatological averages of 28–30°C and recent observational trends showing no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Traders weigh small differences among leading outcomes against model spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution depending on official Israel Meteorological Service readings. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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