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icon for Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?
Politique·Russie

Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?

icon for Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?
Politique·Russie

Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ?

<35 41%

55–64 27%

65–74 27%

35–44 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<35 41%

55–64 27%

65–74 27%

35–44 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<35

$1 Vol.

41%

35–44

$0 Vol.

26%

45–54

$0 Vol.

25%

55–64

$1 Vol.

27%

65–74

$0 Vol.

27%

75–84

$100 Vol.

12%

85+

$20 Vol.

16%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$123
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$123
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Connexes

icon for Le parti Russie unie remportera-t-il entre 325 et 339 sièges lors de la prochaine élection à la Douma d'État russe ?

Le parti Russie unie remportera-t-il entre 325 et 339 sièges lors de la prochaine élection à la Douma d'État russe ?

37%
Oui
icon for Le Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) remportera-t-il entre 65 et 74 sièges lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

Le Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) remportera-t-il entre 65 et 74 sièges lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

42%
Oui
icon for Rodina remportera-t-elle au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

Rodina remportera-t-elle au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

55%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <35 » à 41%, suivi de « 55–64 » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 41¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » est « <35 » à 41%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 55–64 » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de sièges New People (NL) remportera-t-il aux prochaines élections législatives russes ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.