The Russian electoral system's structural features, including proportional representation thresholds and United Russia's entrenched parliamentary majority, underpin trader consensus that the Communist Party (KPRF) will secure fewer than 50 Duma seats. Historical results show KPRF consistently polling in the low-to-mid teens, translating to roughly 40 seats amid limited opposition space and high barriers to broader mobilization. Recent stability in party registration rules and the absence of major pre-election realignments have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 vote. Shifts in turnout among core supporters, unexpected economic pressures, or changes in coalition dynamics could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<50 96.7%
50–59 2.5%
70–79 1.5%
90–99 1.4%
$19,447 Vol.
$19,447 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<50
97%
50–59
3%
60–69
1%
70–79
2%
80–89
1%
90–99
1%
100+
1%
<50 96.7%
50–59 2.5%
70–79 1.5%
90–99 1.4%
$19,447 Vol.
$19,447 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<50
$11,810 Vol.
97%
50–59
$2,889 Vol.
3%
60–69
$1,175 Vol.
1%
70–79
$1,215 Vol.
2%
80–89
$715 Vol.
1%
90–99
$659 Vol.
1%
100+
$985 Vol.
1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The Russian electoral system's structural features, including proportional representation thresholds and United Russia's entrenched parliamentary majority, underpin trader consensus that the Communist Party (KPRF) will secure fewer than 50 Duma seats. Historical results show KPRF consistently polling in the low-to-mid teens, translating to roughly 40 seats amid limited opposition space and high barriers to broader mobilization. Recent stability in party registration rules and the absence of major pre-election realignments have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 vote. Shifts in turnout among core supporters, unexpected economic pressures, or changes in coalition dynamics could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Volume
$19,447Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The Russian electoral system's structural features, including proportional representation thresholds and United Russia's entrenched parliamentary majority, underpin trader consensus that the Communist Party (KPRF) will secure fewer than 50 Duma seats. Historical results show KPRF consistently polling in the low-to-mid teens, translating to roughly 40 seats amid limited opposition space and high barriers to broader mobilization. Recent stability in party registration rules and the absence of major pre-election realignments have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 vote. Shifts in turnout among core supporters, unexpected economic pressures, or changes in coalition dynamics could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$19,447Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Russian electoral system's structural features, including proportional representation thresholds and United Russia's entrenched parliamentary majority, underpin trader consensus that the Communist Party (KPRF) will secure fewer than 50 Duma seats. Historical results show KPRF consistently polling in the low-to-mid teens, translating to roughly 40 seats amid limited opposition space and high barriers to broader mobilization. Recent stability in party registration rules and the absence of major pre-election realignments have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 vote. Shifts in turnout among core supporters, unexpected economic pressures, or changes in coalition dynamics could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) remportera-t-il moins de 45 sièges lors de la prochaine élection de la Douma d'État russe ?
96%
Oui
Russie unie remportera-t-elle entre 340 et 354 sièges lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?
82%
Oui
Le parti « Nouvelles Personnes » (NL) remportera-t-il moins de 35 sièges lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?
96%
Oui
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