Taiwan's constitutional framework for presidential impeachment demands a two-thirds Legislative Yuan vote to initiate proceedings, followed by a national referendum, creating steep procedural hurdles that explain the 98.2 percent trader consensus against Lai Ching-te facing removal by June 30. The fragmented legislature, where the DPP lacks a majority and opposition parties have shown no coordinated push for an impeachment resolution in recent months, has produced no qualifying legislative action or triggering crisis. Historical patterns of Taiwan's impeachment rules further reinforce this outcome, as no president has ever been removed through this mechanism. Only an unforeseen major scandal or abrupt cross-party realignment could still shift the timeline before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLai Ching-te mis en accusation avant le 30 juin ?
Lai Ching-te mis en accusation avant le 30 juin ?
Oui
$618,958 Vol.
$618,958 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$618,958 Vol.
$618,958 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's constitutional framework for presidential impeachment demands a two-thirds Legislative Yuan vote to initiate proceedings, followed by a national referendum, creating steep procedural hurdles that explain the 98.2 percent trader consensus against Lai Ching-te facing removal by June 30. The fragmented legislature, where the DPP lacks a majority and opposition parties have shown no coordinated push for an impeachment resolution in recent months, has produced no qualifying legislative action or triggering crisis. Historical patterns of Taiwan's impeachment rules further reinforce this outcome, as no president has ever been removed through this mechanism. Only an unforeseen major scandal or abrupt cross-party realignment could still shift the timeline before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$618,958Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's constitutional framework for presidential impeachment demands a two-thirds Legislative Yuan vote to initiate proceedings, followed by a national referendum, creating steep procedural hurdles that explain the 98.2 percent trader consensus against Lai Ching-te facing removal by June 30. The fragmented legislature, where the DPP lacks a majority and opposition parties have shown no coordinated push for an impeachment resolution in recent months, has produced no qualifying legislative action or triggering crisis. Historical patterns of Taiwan's impeachment rules further reinforce this outcome, as no president has ever been removed through this mechanism. Only an unforeseen major scandal or abrupt cross-party realignment could still shift the timeline before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$618,958Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's constitutional framework for presidential impeachment demands a two-thirds Legislative Yuan vote to initiate proceedings, followed by a national referendum, creating steep procedural hurdles that explain the 98.2 percent trader consensus against Lai Ching-te facing removal by June 30. The fragmented legislature, where the DPP lacks a majority and opposition parties have shown no coordinated push for an impeachment resolution in recent months, has produced no qualifying legislative action or triggering crisis. Historical patterns of Taiwan's impeachment rules further reinforce this outcome, as no president has ever been removed through this mechanism. Only an unforeseen major scandal or abrupt cross-party realignment could still shift the timeline before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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