Skip to main content
icon for La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ?

La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ?

icon for La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ?

La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ?

13°C 99.3%

12°C <1%

11°C <1%

7°C ou moins <1%

Polymarket

$14,976 Vol.

13°C 99.3%

12°C <1%

11°C <1%

7°C ou moins <1%

Polymarket

$14,976 Vol.

7°C ou moins

$790 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$733 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$539 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$743 Vol.

<1%

11°C

$1,864 Vol.

<1%

12°C

$1,204 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$4,778 Vol.

99%

14°C

$1,712 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$1,002 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$1,026 Vol.

<1%

17°C ou plus

$585 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,976
Date de fin
14 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,976
Date de fin
14 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 13°C » à 99%, suivi de « 7°C ou moins » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ? » a généré $15K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ? » est « 13°C » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 7°C ou moins » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.