**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 14 juin ?
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C ou moins <1%
$14,976 Vol.
$14,976 Vol.
7°C ou moins
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C ou moins <1%
$14,976 Vol.
$14,976 Vol.
7°C ou moins
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this market has converged strongly on a 13°C overnight minimum in London for June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from the latest official forecasts.** Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate generally dry conditions with variable cloud and a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C across the London region, consistent with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling under moderate north-westerly flow and no significant cold-air advection. This aligns with observed trends where daytime highs reach the low-20s Celsius before radiative cooling overnight stabilizes temperatures in the low-to-mid teens. The dominant positioning rests on high model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift, such as clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or a sharper wind change introducing cooler air, pushing the verified low (typically from official London stations) to 12°C or below—scenarios assigned negligible probability by current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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