Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have produced proposals for a framework memorandum to end recent hostilities and open a 30-day window for deeper talks on sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and nuclear limits, yet core disputes persist over Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and the length of any enrichment suspension. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year moratorium if accompanied by verifiable guarantees, while Iranian officials have questioned US seriousness and rejected demands to relinquish near-weapons-grade material or shutter facilities. These unresolved nuclear conditions, combined with recent rejections of counteroffers, sustain trader consensus that a binding bilateral nuclear agreement remains unlikely before the June 30 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord nucléaire américano-iranien d'ici le 30 juin ?
Accord nucléaire américano-iranien d'ici le 30 juin ?
Oui
$1,859,328 Vol.
$1,859,328 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$1,859,328 Vol.
$1,859,328 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have produced proposals for a framework memorandum to end recent hostilities and open a 30-day window for deeper talks on sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and nuclear limits, yet core disputes persist over Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and the length of any enrichment suspension. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year moratorium if accompanied by verifiable guarantees, while Iranian officials have questioned US seriousness and rejected demands to relinquish near-weapons-grade material or shutter facilities. These unresolved nuclear conditions, combined with recent rejections of counteroffers, sustain trader consensus that a binding bilateral nuclear agreement remains unlikely before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,859,328Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have produced proposals for a framework memorandum to end recent hostilities and open a 30-day window for deeper talks on sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and nuclear limits, yet core disputes persist over Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and the length of any enrichment suspension. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year moratorium if accompanied by verifiable guarantees, while Iranian officials have questioned US seriousness and rejected demands to relinquish near-weapons-grade material or shutter facilities. These unresolved nuclear conditions, combined with recent rejections of counteroffers, sustain trader consensus that a binding bilateral nuclear agreement remains unlikely before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,859,328Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have produced proposals for a framework memorandum to end recent hostilities and open a 30-day window for deeper talks on sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and nuclear limits, yet core disputes persist over Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and the length of any enrichment suspension. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year moratorium if accompanied by verifiable guarantees, while Iranian officials have questioned US seriousness and rejected demands to relinquish near-weapons-grade material or shutter facilities. These unresolved nuclear conditions, combined with recent rejections of counteroffers, sustain trader consensus that a binding bilateral nuclear agreement remains unlikely before the June 30 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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