China Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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Geopolitics

Geopolitics

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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? card icon

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

14%

chance

$6m Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? card icon

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

3%

chance

$1m Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? card icon

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

9%

chance

$313k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? card icon

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

5%

chance

$141k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? card icon

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

20%

chance

$322k Vol.

repeat-3annual
Who will acquire TikTok? card icon

Who will acquire TikTok?

AppLovin

6%

Meta

4%

AppLovin

6%

Meta

4%

$851k Vol.

Will Trump visit China by...? card icon

Will Trump visit China by...?

March 31, 2026

4%

April 30, 2026

78%

March 31, 2026

4%

April 30, 2026

78%

$886k Vol.

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? card icon

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

8%

chance

$339k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
China coup attempt before 2027? card icon

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

chance

$10k Vol.

repeat-3annual
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? card icon

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

3%

chance

$14k Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027? card icon

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

25%

chance

$39k Vol.

repeat-3annual