The market's near-certain positioning at 20°C reflects the latest AEMET surface observations and ensemble model consensus, which show Madrid's maximum temperature holding steady near that value under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal daytime heating. Light northerly winds and dew points around 10°C have limited convective warming, keeping readings aligned with the 1991–2020 May climatology for the region. With the day nearing its close, fresh hourly data from central stations confirm no late-afternoon spike is possible, locking in the outcome barring an improbable instrument calibration shift at multiple sites. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how tightly current thermodynamic profiles constrain the daily high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,169 Vol.
$85,169 Vol.
May 16, 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,169 Vol.
$85,169 Vol.
May 16, 2026
20°C
$10,938 Vol.
100%
21°C
$12,103 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,046 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,884 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,168 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning at 20°C reflects the latest AEMET surface observations and ensemble model consensus, which show Madrid's maximum temperature holding steady near that value under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal daytime heating. Light northerly winds and dew points around 10°C have limited convective warming, keeping readings aligned with the 1991–2020 May climatology for the region. With the day nearing its close, fresh hourly data from central stations confirm no late-afternoon spike is possible, locking in the outcome barring an improbable instrument calibration shift at multiple sites. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how tightly current thermodynamic profiles constrain the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$85,169Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning at 20°C reflects the latest AEMET surface observations and ensemble model consensus, which show Madrid's maximum temperature holding steady near that value under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal daytime heating. Light northerly winds and dew points around 10°C have limited convective warming, keeping readings aligned with the 1991–2020 May climatology for the region. With the day nearing its close, fresh hourly data from central stations confirm no late-afternoon spike is possible, locking in the outcome barring an improbable instrument calibration shift at multiple sites. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how tightly current thermodynamic profiles constrain the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,169Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
The market's near-certain positioning at 20°C reflects the latest AEMET surface observations and ensemble model consensus, which show Madrid's maximum temperature holding steady near that value under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal daytime heating. Light northerly winds and dew points around 10°C have limited convective warming, keeping readings aligned with the 1991–2020 May climatology for the region. With the day nearing its close, fresh hourly data from central stations confirm no late-afternoon spike is possible, locking in the outcome barring an improbable instrument calibration shift at multiple sites. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how tightly current thermodynamic profiles constrain the daily high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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