Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 13?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,660 Vol.
$49,660 Vol.
May 13, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,660 Vol.
$49,660 Vol.
May 13, 2026
22°C or below
$7,030 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,652 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,231 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,045 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$5,682 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,192 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,180 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,680 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,161 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,321 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,485 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,660Tanggal Berakhir
May 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,660Tanggal Berakhir
May 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 25°C (100%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on May 13, driven by verified observational data from official stations like those operated by the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Mirante de Santana, which recorded a peak of precisely 25°C amid a lingering polar air mass suppressing daytime heating. Clear skies and low humidity allowed for typical May radiative cooling overnight (mínimas near 11°C), but upper-air stability prevented significant warming beyond this threshold, aligning with forecast models from CPTEC-INPE predicting maxima around 23–26°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require a rare post hoc revision from auxiliary stations like Congonhas Airport reporting higher verified readings, though INMET's preliminary bulletin solidifies the outcome absent contradictory evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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