Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C or higher 23%
27°C 15%
BARU
$40,316 Vol.
BARU
$40,316 Vol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
31%
29°C
33%
30°C or higher
23%
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C or higher 23%
27°C 15%
BARU
$40,316 Vol.
BARU
$40,316 Vol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$2,924 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,184 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,769 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,266 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,247 Vol.
3%
27°C
$3,181 Vol.
15%
28°C
$2,996 Vol.
31%
29°C
$2,510 Vol.
33%
30°C or higher
$3,635 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$40,316Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,316Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation under mostly clear skies. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes, each near 27–29 percent. Historical May averages at the site run 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure above the climatological baseline. Minor shifts in ridge strength or timing of any late-day cloud cover could still nudge the official high across the 29–30 °C threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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