Official Met Office data from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C on May 15, driving the market's decisive 100% consensus on this outcome. Mild Atlantic airflow and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented colder readings, consistent with May climatology for the region. No frost or cold-air advection occurred to push values lower, and model guidance aligned closely with observations. While minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions could theoretically shift the official figure, the broad agreement across monitoring networks makes such adjustments improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on May 15?
7°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$17,650 Vol.
$17,650 Vol.
-1°C or below
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$17,650 Vol.
$17,650 Vol.
-1°C or below
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official Met Office data from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C on May 15, driving the market's decisive 100% consensus on this outcome. Mild Atlantic airflow and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies prevented colder readings, consistent with May climatology for the region. No frost or cold-air advection occurred to push values lower, and model guidance aligned closely with observations. While minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions could theoretically shift the official figure, the broad agreement across monitoring networks makes such adjustments improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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