Trump's average Truth Social activity has hovered near 18-20 posts daily in 2025-2026 data, which would project roughly 144-160 posts across the eight-day window. Trader consensus favoring 200+ posts at 63% probability appears driven by expectations of elevated volume tied to active foreign policy updates, including Iran-related developments, and domestic announcements often routed through the platform. The August 1 launch of a paid early-access service for his feed, followed by related lawsuits filed around August 12, has sustained high visibility and potential incentive for frequent posting. With the resolution period ending August 18, recent activity levels and scheduled policy signals remain the primary variables that could shift the distribution toward the 180-199 range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDonald Trump # Truth Post social 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Post social 11 agosto - 18 agosto 2026?
200+ 63%
180-199 36%
160-179 2.5%
140-159 <1%
$54,529 Vol.
$54,529 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
36%
200+
63%
200+ 63%
180-199 36%
160-179 2.5%
140-159 <1%
$54,529 Vol.
$54,529 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
$7,140 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$7,781 Vol.
2%
180-199
$5,452 Vol.
36%
200+
$8,921 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's average Truth Social activity has hovered near 18-20 posts daily in 2025-2026 data, which would project roughly 144-160 posts across the eight-day window. Trader consensus favoring 200+ posts at 63% probability appears driven by expectations of elevated volume tied to active foreign policy updates, including Iran-related developments, and domestic announcements often routed through the platform. The August 1 launch of a paid early-access service for his feed, followed by related lawsuits filed around August 12, has sustained high visibility and potential incentive for frequent posting. With the resolution period ending August 18, recent activity levels and scheduled policy signals remain the primary variables that could shift the distribution toward the 180-199 range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$54,529Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's average Truth Social activity has hovered near 18-20 posts daily in 2025-2026 data, which would project roughly 144-160 posts across the eight-day window. Trader consensus favoring 200+ posts at 63% probability appears driven by expectations of elevated volume tied to active foreign policy updates, including Iran-related developments, and domestic announcements often routed through the platform. The August 1 launch of a paid early-access service for his feed, followed by related lawsuits filed around August 12, has sustained high visibility and potential incentive for frequent posting. With the resolution period ending August 18, recent activity levels and scheduled policy signals remain the primary variables that could shift the distribution toward the 180-199 range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$54,529Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's average Truth Social activity has hovered near 18-20 posts daily in 2025-2026 data, which would project roughly 144-160 posts across the eight-day window. Trader consensus favoring 200+ posts at 63% probability appears driven by expectations of elevated volume tied to active foreign policy updates, including Iran-related developments, and domestic announcements often routed through the platform. The August 1 launch of a paid early-access service for his feed, followed by related lawsuits filed around August 12, has sustained high visibility and potential incentive for frequent posting. With the resolution period ending August 18, recent activity levels and scheduled policy signals remain the primary variables that could shift the distribution toward the 180-199 range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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