The overwhelming trader consensus favoring 20°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on May 16 reflects the latest consensus forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which projects a stable high-pressure regime and light southerly flow keeping daytime maxima at the lower end of mid-May climatology. Official model outputs show limited variability, with peak readings expected near the city’s typical seasonal average of 21–22°C but constrained by current atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover allowing greater insolation, though current observations indicate such developments remain improbable before final readings at Esenboğa International Airport are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The overwhelming trader consensus favoring 20°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on May 16 reflects the latest consensus forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which projects a stable high-pressure regime and light southerly flow keeping daytime maxima at the lower end of mid-May climatology. Official model outputs show limited variability, with peak readings expected near the city’s typical seasonal average of 21–22°C but constrained by current atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover allowing greater insolation, though current observations indicate such developments remain improbable before final readings at Esenboğa International Airport are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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