**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models position 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026.** The Philippine weather agency’s extended outlook for Metro Manila lists a daytime high of 33–34°C with a 40% chance of rain, consistent with climatological norms for early southwest monsoon conditions. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, converge on highs near 32–33°C (90°F), reflecting typical June values moderated by increased cloud cover and humidity rather than the drier-season peaks above 34°C. The southwest monsoon’s onset brings scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit intense solar heating, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (46.5% implied probability). Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no strong signals for either unusually suppressed (below 32°C) or elevated (35°C+) readings. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow, well-forecast window while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in convective activity or minor model adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 15 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 15 giugno?
33°C 47%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 3.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
28°C o inferiore
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 3.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
28°C o inferiore
$677 Vol.
1%
29°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$496 Vol.
3%
32°C
$167 Vol.
24%
33°C
$152 Vol.
47%
34°C
$806 Vol.
22%
35°C
$421 Vol.
3%
36°C
$154 Vol.
1%
37°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
38°C o superiore
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models position 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026.** The Philippine weather agency’s extended outlook for Metro Manila lists a daytime high of 33–34°C with a 40% chance of rain, consistent with climatological norms for early southwest monsoon conditions. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, converge on highs near 32–33°C (90°F), reflecting typical June values moderated by increased cloud cover and humidity rather than the drier-season peaks above 34°C.
The southwest monsoon’s onset brings scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit intense solar heating, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (46.5% implied probability). Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no strong signals for either unusually suppressed (below 32°C) or elevated (35°C+) readings. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow, well-forecast window while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in convective activity or minor model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$3,399Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models position 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026.** The Philippine weather agency’s extended outlook for Metro Manila lists a daytime high of 33–34°C with a 40% chance of rain, consistent with climatological norms for early southwest monsoon conditions. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, converge on highs near 32–33°C (90°F), reflecting typical June values moderated by increased cloud cover and humidity rather than the drier-season peaks above 34°C.
The southwest monsoon’s onset brings scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit intense solar heating, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (46.5% implied probability). Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no strong signals for either unusually suppressed (below 32°C) or elevated (35°C+) readings. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow, well-forecast window while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in convective activity or minor model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,399Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models position 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026.** The Philippine weather agency’s extended outlook for Metro Manila lists a daytime high of 33–34°C with a 40% chance of rain, consistent with climatological norms for early southwest monsoon conditions. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, converge on highs near 32–33°C (90°F), reflecting typical June values moderated by increased cloud cover and humidity rather than the drier-season peaks above 34°C. The southwest monsoon’s onset brings scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit intense solar heating, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (46.5% implied probability). Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no strong signals for either unusually suppressed (below 32°C) or elevated (35°C+) readings. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow, well-forecast window while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in convective activity or minor model adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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