PAGASA's June 14, 2026 forecast for Metro Manila calls for a daily maximum near 33–34°C under easterly flow, with a 40% chance of rain or thunderstorms that typically suppresses peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological June averages of 32°C and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating. The 99.9% market-implied probability on 32°C reflects traders' confidence in these moderate conditions and official observation protocols at PAGASA stations. Clearer skies or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 34°C or higher, but current moisture and wind patterns make such outliers unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on June 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$24,179 Vol.
$24,179 Vol.
14 giu 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$24,179 Vol.
$24,179 Vol.
14 giu 2026
27°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$981 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,249 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,403 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,881 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,711 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,297 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,377 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's June 14, 2026 forecast for Metro Manila calls for a daily maximum near 33–34°C under easterly flow, with a 40% chance of rain or thunderstorms that typically suppresses peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological June averages of 32°C and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating. The 99.9% market-implied probability on 32°C reflects traders' confidence in these moderate conditions and official observation protocols at PAGASA stations. Clearer skies or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 34°C or higher, but current moisture and wind patterns make such outliers unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$24,179Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's June 14, 2026 forecast for Metro Manila calls for a daily maximum near 33–34°C under easterly flow, with a 40% chance of rain or thunderstorms that typically suppresses peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological June averages of 32°C and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating. The 99.9% market-implied probability on 32°C reflects traders' confidence in these moderate conditions and official observation protocols at PAGASA stations. Clearer skies or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 34°C or higher, but current moisture and wind patterns make such outliers unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,179Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's June 14, 2026 forecast for Metro Manila calls for a daily maximum near 33–34°C under easterly flow, with a 40% chance of rain or thunderstorms that typically suppresses peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological June averages of 32°C and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating. The 99.9% market-implied probability on 32°C reflects traders' confidence in these moderate conditions and official observation protocols at PAGASA stations. Clearer skies or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 34°C or higher, but current moisture and wind patterns make such outliers unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti