Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 20%
60-61°F 15%
NUOVO
$32,639 Vol.
NUOVO
$32,639 Vol.
14 mag 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 20%
60-61°F 15%
NUOVO
$32,639 Vol.
NUOVO
$32,639 Vol.
14 mag 2026
57°F or below
$840 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,463 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$6,464 Vol.
15%
62-63°F
$3,719 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$2,079 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$2,504 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$2,649 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$3,084 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$3,141 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,475 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,605 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$32,639Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,639Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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