The Israel Meteorological Service's early morning update for May 15 forecasts a significant temperature drop in Tel Aviv to seasonal levels of 13–23°C under partly cloudy skies and strong westerly winds, following hotter conditions earlier in the week like 34°C on May 12. This cooling trend, driven by increased cloud cover and coastal wind shear suppressing daytime heating, positions 25°C as the market-implied high at 83.5% trader consensus, aligning closely with official model guidance and preliminary observations. A 26°C outcome at 9.5% reflects minor uncertainty from potential late-afternoon sun breaks, while higher thresholds face barriers from persistent winds. Real-time IMS station data at Bet Dagan through evening will confirm the peak, with historical May averages around 26°C providing context for this moderated outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 15 maggio?
25°C 92%
26°C 8%
28°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,525 Vol.
$31,525 Vol.
25°C
92%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 92%
26°C 8%
28°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,525 Vol.
$31,525 Vol.
25°C
92%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Israel Meteorological Service's early morning update for May 15 forecasts a significant temperature drop in Tel Aviv to seasonal levels of 13–23°C under partly cloudy skies and strong westerly winds, following hotter conditions earlier in the week like 34°C on May 12. This cooling trend, driven by increased cloud cover and coastal wind shear suppressing daytime heating, positions 25°C as the market-implied high at 83.5% trader consensus, aligning closely with official model guidance and preliminary observations. A 26°C outcome at 9.5% reflects minor uncertainty from potential late-afternoon sun breaks, while higher thresholds face barriers from persistent winds. Real-time IMS station data at Bet Dagan through evening will confirm the peak, with historical May averages around 26°C providing context for this moderated outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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