Recent forecasts from major meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical spring humidity that limits intense solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28°C and 29°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus near the 26–28°C climatological average for mid-May. Minor model spread remains tied to possible afternoon clearing, which could nudge readings toward 30°C if winds weaken, though no strong signals support extremes above that threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from official monitoring agencies will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 17 maggio?
28°C 50%
29°C 28%
30°C 11%
31°C 5.2%
$31,075 Vol.
$31,075 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
50%
29°C
28%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
29°C 28%
30°C 11%
31°C 5.2%
$31,075 Vol.
$31,075 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
50%
29°C
28%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent forecasts from major meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical spring humidity that limits intense solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28°C and 29°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus near the 26–28°C climatological average for mid-May. Minor model spread remains tied to possible afternoon clearing, which could nudge readings toward 30°C if winds weaken, though no strong signals support extremes above that threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from official monitoring agencies will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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