Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, with Tehran proposing to delay discussions on uranium enrichment until after addressing regional conflicts, sanctions relief, and control over the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have signaled willingness to consider a temporary pause of up to 20 years or down-blending of highly enriched uranium stockpiles but reject permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantling of facilities. Recent statements from President Trump indicate openness to a 20-year moratorium with strong verification, yet core disputes persist and nuclear talks appear postponed to later stages. With no breakthrough achieved in the past month and the June 30 deadline approaching, trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability against agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, with Tehran proposing to delay discussions on uranium enrichment until after addressing regional conflicts, sanctions relief, and control over the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have signaled willingness to consider a temporary pause of up to 20 years or down-blending of highly enriched uranium stockpiles but reject permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantling of facilities. Recent statements from President Trump indicate openness to a 20-year moratorium with strong verification, yet core disputes persist and nuclear talks appear postponed to later stages. With no breakthrough achieved in the past month and the June 30 deadline approaching, trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability against agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,383,209Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, with Tehran proposing to delay discussions on uranium enrichment until after addressing regional conflicts, sanctions relief, and control over the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have signaled willingness to consider a temporary pause of up to 20 years or down-blending of highly enriched uranium stockpiles but reject permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantling of facilities. Recent statements from President Trump indicate openness to a 20-year moratorium with strong verification, yet core disputes persist and nuclear talks appear postponed to later stages. With no breakthrough achieved in the past month and the June 30 deadline approaching, trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability against agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,383,209Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, with Tehran proposing to delay discussions on uranium enrichment until after addressing regional conflicts, sanctions relief, and control over the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have signaled willingness to consider a temporary pause of up to 20 years or down-blending of highly enriched uranium stockpiles but reject permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantling of facilities. Recent statements from President Trump indicate openness to a 20-year moratorium with strong verification, yet core disputes persist and nuclear talks appear postponed to later stages. With no breakthrough achieved in the past month and the June 30 deadline approaching, trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability against agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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