Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 maggio?
8°C 100.0%
1°C o inferiore <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$11,526 Vol.
$11,526 Vol.
14 mag 2026
1°C o inferiore
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Sì
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C o superiore
No
8°C 100.0%
1°C o inferiore <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$11,526 Vol.
$11,526 Vol.
14 mag 2026
1°C o inferiore
$396 Vol.
No
2°C
$575 Vol.
No
3°C
$551 Vol.
No
4°C
$658 Vol.
No
5°C
$1,281 Vol.
No
6°C
$937 Vol.
No
7°C
$844 Vol.
No
8°C
$2,773 Vol.
Sì
9°C
$783 Vol.
No
10°C
$646 Vol.
No
11°C o superiore
$2,083 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$11,526Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,526Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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