Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 14 maggio?
12°C 100.0%
11°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Vol.
$29,660 Vol.
11°C o inferiore
No
12°C
Sì
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C o superiore
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 Vol.
$29,660 Vol.
11°C o inferiore
No
12°C
Sì
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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