Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Seoul overnight lows clustering near 14–15°C on May 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies will enhance radiative cooling after sunset while light southerly winds and the urban heat-island effect limit further drops, keeping the minimum within the narrow 13–16°C band that currently dominates trader positioning. Historical mid-May climatology at the official Incheon station shows typical minima between 12°C and 16°C, so the tightly matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact boundary-layer cooling rates rather than any major pattern shift. The next KMA short-range update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key catalysts that could tip consensus toward one outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 18 maggio?
14°C 26%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
16°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
11°C o inferiore
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
26%
15°C
18%
16°C
21%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
1%
14°C 26%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
16°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
11°C o inferiore
$122 Vol.
1%
12°C
$65 Vol.
3%
13°C
$10 Vol.
24%
14°C
$2 Vol.
26%
15°C
$24 Vol.
18%
16°C
$15 Vol.
21%
17°C
$358 Vol.
1%
18°C
$162 Vol.
1%
19°C
$112 Vol.
1%
20°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$152 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Seoul overnight lows clustering near 14–15°C on May 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies will enhance radiative cooling after sunset while light southerly winds and the urban heat-island effect limit further drops, keeping the minimum within the narrow 13–16°C band that currently dominates trader positioning. Historical mid-May climatology at the official Incheon station shows typical minima between 12°C and 16°C, so the tightly matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact boundary-layer cooling rates rather than any major pattern shift. The next KMA short-range update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key catalysts that could tip consensus toward one outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,148Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Seoul overnight lows clustering near 14–15°C on May 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies will enhance radiative cooling after sunset while light southerly winds and the urban heat-island effect limit further drops, keeping the minimum within the narrow 13–16°C band that currently dominates trader positioning. Historical mid-May climatology at the official Incheon station shows typical minima between 12°C and 16°C, so the tightly matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact boundary-layer cooling rates rather than any major pattern shift. The next KMA short-range update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key catalysts that could tip consensus toward one outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,148Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Seoul overnight lows clustering near 14–15°C on May 18 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies will enhance radiative cooling after sunset while light southerly winds and the urban heat-island effect limit further drops, keeping the minimum within the narrow 13–16°C band that currently dominates trader positioning. Historical mid-May climatology at the official Incheon station shows typical minima between 12°C and 16°C, so the tightly matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact boundary-layer cooling rates rather than any major pattern shift. The next KMA short-range update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key catalysts that could tip consensus toward one outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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