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Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí

Rafael Fonteles 93%

Ravenna da Inclusão 2.0%

Professor Gisvaldo 1.5%

Santiago Belizário 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Rafael Fonteles 93%

Ravenna da Inclusão 2.0%

Professor Gisvaldo 1.5%

Santiago Belizário 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$991 Vol.

93%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$158 Vol.

2%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$152 Vol.

2%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos

Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$152 Vol.

1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$102 Vol.

1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 race due to sustained high polling averages above 60 percent, a broad multi-party coalition, and the absence of a consolidated challenger. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions have formalized his position ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff, with surveys from mid-2026 reinforcing his margin over fragmented opponents including Joel Rodrigues and lower-polling names. Trader consensus reflects this incumbency advantage and electoral math, assigning over 90 percent implied probability to his victory. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected coalition fractures before October could still alter the outcome, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,464
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 race due to sustained high polling averages above 60 percent, a broad multi-party coalition, and the absence of a consolidated challenger. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions have formalized his position ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff, with surveys from mid-2026 reinforcing his margin over fragmented opponents including Joel Rodrigues and lower-polling names. Trader consensus reflects this incumbency advantage and electoral math, assigning over 90 percent implied probability to his victory. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected coalition fractures before October could still alter the outcome, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,464
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rafael Fonteles" a 93%, seguito da "Ravenna da Inclusão" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 93¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 93% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" è "Rafael Fonteles" a 93%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 93% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ravenna da Inclusão" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.