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icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$758,469 Vol.

30 giu 2026
Polymarket

$758,469 Vol.

Polymarket
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North Korea

$39,410 Vol.

<1%

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Cuba

$52,811 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$56,493 Vol.

<1%

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Lebanon

$361,589 Vol.

69%

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Afghanistan

$21,091 Vol.

<1%

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Iraq

$37,359 Vol.

<1%

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Pakistan

$9,973 Vol.

<1%

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Syria

$16,939 Vol.

5%

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Venezuela

$88,661 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$4,867 Vol.

<1%

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Kuwait

$2,550 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$9,412 Vol.

5%

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Indonesia

$22,590 Vol.

<1%

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Malaysia

$28,194 Vol.

<1%

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Bangladesh

$6,532 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization between Israel and additional states has remained limited since the Abraham Accords, with no new formal recognitions reported in 2026. The 29 UN members that have never recognized Israel include several Arab League and OIC states whose positions tie any change to Palestinian statehood or other conditions, as restated by Saudi officials. Recent multilateral statements from countries including France, Brazil, and others have instead advanced recognition of Palestine or two-state initiatives, while Israel has pursued ties with entities such as Somaliland. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching, scheduled diplomatic engagements and any shifts in regional security dynamics could influence final announcements, though trader focus centers on whether holdout governments will complete the required bilateral steps in the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,469
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization between Israel and additional states has remained limited since the Abraham Accords, with no new formal recognitions reported in 2026. The 29 UN members that have never recognized Israel include several Arab League and OIC states whose positions tie any change to Palestinian statehood or other conditions, as restated by Saudi officials. Recent multilateral statements from countries including France, Brazil, and others have instead advanced recognition of Palestine or two-state initiatives, while Israel has pursued ties with entities such as Somaliland. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching, scheduled diplomatic engagements and any shifts in regional security dynamics could influence final announcements, though trader focus centers on whether holdout governments will complete the required bilateral steps in the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,469
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lebanon" a 69%, seguito da "Syria" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 69¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" ha generato $758.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 20, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" è "Lebanon" a 69%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Syria" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.