Israeli officials have signaled readiness for expanded operations in Gaza to disarm Hamas, citing intelligence that the group is rearming amid the fragile post-Iran ceasefire. Since early April 2026, the Israel Defense Forces have intensified airstrikes and limited ground activity, with attacks rising 35 percent month-over-month and over 120 reported Palestinian fatalities, while maintaining control over significant territory. Defense Minister statements ordering seizure of additional areas and contingency planning for larger incursions reflect ongoing pressure to prevent Hamas consolidation, yet no large-scale ground offensive has been initiated in recent weeks. Traders weigh these developments against diplomatic constraints and the risk of renewed escalation, with any major troop deployment likely tied to political decisions in the coming weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$555,050 Vol.
31 ott 2025
30 giugno
16%
31 dicembre
46%
$555,050 Vol.
30 giugno
$54,006 Vol.
16%
31 dicembre
$24,302 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness for expanded operations in Gaza to disarm Hamas, citing intelligence that the group is rearming amid the fragile post-Iran ceasefire. Since early April 2026, the Israel Defense Forces have intensified airstrikes and limited ground activity, with attacks rising 35 percent month-over-month and over 120 reported Palestinian fatalities, while maintaining control over significant territory. Defense Minister statements ordering seizure of additional areas and contingency planning for larger incursions reflect ongoing pressure to prevent Hamas consolidation, yet no large-scale ground offensive has been initiated in recent weeks. Traders weigh these developments against diplomatic constraints and the risk of renewed escalation, with any major troop deployment likely tied to political decisions in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$555,050Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness for expanded operations in Gaza to disarm Hamas, citing intelligence that the group is rearming amid the fragile post-Iran ceasefire. Since early April 2026, the Israel Defense Forces have intensified airstrikes and limited ground activity, with attacks rising 35 percent month-over-month and over 120 reported Palestinian fatalities, while maintaining control over significant territory. Defense Minister statements ordering seizure of additional areas and contingency planning for larger incursions reflect ongoing pressure to prevent Hamas consolidation, yet no large-scale ground offensive has been initiated in recent weeks. Traders weigh these developments against diplomatic constraints and the risk of renewed escalation, with any major troop deployment likely tied to political decisions in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$555,050Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled readiness for expanded operations in Gaza to disarm Hamas, citing intelligence that the group is rearming amid the fragile post-Iran ceasefire. Since early April 2026, the Israel Defense Forces have intensified airstrikes and limited ground activity, with attacks rising 35 percent month-over-month and over 120 reported Palestinian fatalities, while maintaining control over significant territory. Defense Minister statements ordering seizure of additional areas and contingency planning for larger incursions reflect ongoing pressure to prevent Hamas consolidation, yet no large-scale ground offensive has been initiated in recent weeks. Traders weigh these developments against diplomatic constraints and the risk of renewed escalation, with any major troop deployment likely tied to political decisions in the coming weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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