Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,231 Vol.
95%
民主党
$6,248 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$14,480終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,480終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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