Redistricting in Texas shifted the open TX-35 seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more suburban and rural voters while retaining a Hispanic-majority electorate that has shown some leftward movement in recent cycles. With the longtime Democratic incumbent departing for another district, both parties face competitive May 26 runoffs that introduce uncertainty over nominees and general-election positioning. Expert ratings classify the race as likely Republican, yet the narrow market spread reflects trader focus on turnout dynamics in the San Antonio corridor, potential national midterm headwinds, and the absence of a clear frontrunner until primary results finalize. Separation could emerge from stronger Republican nominee performance in the runoff or shifts in Hispanic voter preferences tracked in subsequent polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
48%
民主党
47%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$763 Vol.
48%
民主党
$1,581 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Texas shifted the open TX-35 seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more suburban and rural voters while retaining a Hispanic-majority electorate that has shown some leftward movement in recent cycles. With the longtime Democratic incumbent departing for another district, both parties face competitive May 26 runoffs that introduce uncertainty over nominees and general-election positioning. Expert ratings classify the race as likely Republican, yet the narrow market spread reflects trader focus on turnout dynamics in the San Antonio corridor, potential national midterm headwinds, and the absence of a clear frontrunner until primary results finalize. Separation could emerge from stronger Republican nominee performance in the runoff or shifts in Hispanic voter preferences tracked in subsequent polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$2,344終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Texas shifted the open TX-35 seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more suburban and rural voters while retaining a Hispanic-majority electorate that has shown some leftward movement in recent cycles. With the longtime Democratic incumbent departing for another district, both parties face competitive May 26 runoffs that introduce uncertainty over nominees and general-election positioning. Expert ratings classify the race as likely Republican, yet the narrow market spread reflects trader focus on turnout dynamics in the San Antonio corridor, potential national midterm headwinds, and the absence of a clear frontrunner until primary results finalize. Separation could emerge from stronger Republican nominee performance in the runoff or shifts in Hispanic voter preferences tracked in subsequent polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,344終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in Texas shifted the open TX-35 seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more suburban and rural voters while retaining a Hispanic-majority electorate that has shown some leftward movement in recent cycles. With the longtime Democratic incumbent departing for another district, both parties face competitive May 26 runoffs that introduce uncertainty over nominees and general-election positioning. Expert ratings classify the race as likely Republican, yet the narrow market spread reflects trader focus on turnout dynamics in the San Antonio corridor, potential national midterm headwinds, and the absence of a clear frontrunner until primary results finalize. Separation could emerge from stronger Republican nominee performance in the runoff or shifts in Hispanic voter preferences tracked in subsequent polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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