Texas' 35th congressional district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans with an estimated 10-point Trump margin in the prior cycle, features an open seat after the incumbent Democrat shifted to another race. Nominees Democrat Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order themes, and Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting congresswoman, advanced through March primaries and May runoffs. The Hispanic-majority district remains competitive amid observed shifts in voter preferences, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge consistent with the closely balanced fundamentals ahead of the November general election. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
54%
共和党
43%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$4,678 Vol.
54%
共和党
$4,409 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 35th congressional district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans with an estimated 10-point Trump margin in the prior cycle, features an open seat after the incumbent Democrat shifted to another race. Nominees Democrat Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order themes, and Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting congresswoman, advanced through March primaries and May runoffs. The Hispanic-majority district remains competitive amid observed shifts in voter preferences, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge consistent with the closely balanced fundamentals ahead of the November general election. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$9,086終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 35th congressional district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans with an estimated 10-point Trump margin in the prior cycle, features an open seat after the incumbent Democrat shifted to another race. Nominees Democrat Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order themes, and Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting congresswoman, advanced through March primaries and May runoffs. The Hispanic-majority district remains competitive amid observed shifts in voter preferences, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge consistent with the closely balanced fundamentals ahead of the November general election. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,086終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 35th congressional district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans with an estimated 10-point Trump margin in the prior cycle, features an open seat after the incumbent Democrat shifted to another race. Nominees Democrat Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order themes, and Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of a sitting congresswoman, advanced through March primaries and May runoffs. The Hispanic-majority district remains competitive amid observed shifts in voter preferences, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a modest edge consistent with the closely balanced fundamentals ahead of the November general election. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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