Democratic incumbent Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 59.5% against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4% in the solidly Democratic 35th district spanning parts of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic based on its voter registration edge, Torres's 2024 reelection margin, and consistent fundraising advantage heading into the November general election. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,245 Vol.
$36,245 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$36,245 Vol.
$36,245 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$20,423 Vol.
95%
共和党
$15,823 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 59.5% against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4% in the solidly Democratic 35th district spanning parts of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic based on its voter registration edge, Torres's 2024 reelection margin, and consistent fundraising advantage heading into the November general election. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability before polls close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$36,245終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 59.5% against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4% in the solidly Democratic 35th district spanning parts of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic based on its voter registration edge, Torres's 2024 reelection margin, and consistent fundraising advantage heading into the November general election. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability before polls close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,245終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with 59.5% against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4% in the solidly Democratic 35th district spanning parts of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic based on its voter registration edge, Torres's 2024 reelection margin, and consistent fundraising advantage heading into the November general election. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問