Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured 55% of the vote in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary for Illinois’s 14th congressional district. Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but faces a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Underwood’s established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health development affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,134 Vol.
$14,134 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$14,134 Vol.
$14,134 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$4,471 Vol.
95%
共和党
$9,662 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured 55% of the vote in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary for Illinois’s 14th congressional district. Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but faces a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Underwood’s established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health development affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$14,134終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured 55% of the vote in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary for Illinois’s 14th congressional district. Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but faces a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Underwood’s established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health development affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,134終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured 55% of the vote in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary for Illinois’s 14th congressional district. Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but faces a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Underwood’s established fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health development affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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