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icon for テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

icon for テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

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Polymarket

$20 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 6月30日

6月30日

$20 Vol.

45%

icon for 8月30日

8月30日

$0 Vol.

67%

icon for 10月31日

10月31日

$0 Vol.

52%

icon for 12月31日

12月31日

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS) have driven market focus on potential spread, with USDA APHIS confirming five U.S. cases since the initial June 3, 2026, finding in a Zavala County, Texas calf. Additional infestations include calves and a goat in Texas counties such as La Salle and Gillespie, plus a dog in Lea County, New Mexico, though livestock cases remain confined to Texas. NWS larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, with official response emphasizing quarantine zones, movement controls, and sterile insect releases to suppress populations. No human cases are reported. Traders monitor USDA surveillance updates and any new laboratory confirmations, which could shift odds if livestock detections occur outside Texas amid northward migration risks from Mexico.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$20
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS) have driven market focus on potential spread, with USDA APHIS confirming five U.S. cases since the initial June 3, 2026, finding in a Zavala County, Texas calf. Additional infestations include calves and a goat in Texas counties such as La Salle and Gillespie, plus a dog in Lea County, New Mexico, though livestock cases remain confined to Texas. NWS larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, with official response emphasizing quarantine zones, movement controls, and sterile insect releases to suppress populations. No human cases are reported. Traders monitor USDA surveillance updates and any new laboratory confirmations, which could shift odds if livestock detections occur outside Texas amid northward migration risks from Mexico.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$20
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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よくある質問

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「8月30日」で67%、次いで「10月31日」が52%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 10, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」の現在のフロントランナーは「8月30日」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10月31日」で52%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。