Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$39,874 Vol.
$39,874 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$39,874 Vol.
$39,874 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$18,569 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$21,305 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$39,874終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,874終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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