Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf has sharply shifted trader consensus in the crowded Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, positioning her as the clear frontrunner at 82.5%. Earlier polling from Victory Insights and Cygnal showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel in a statistical tie in the mid-to-high teens, with Jim Oberweis in single digits amid a field of ten candidates vying to succeed Byron Donalds. Additional backing from Florida representatives Greg Steube and Kat Cammack, plus external support, has reinforced Lauf's momentum in the final days. This leaves limited room for late shifts, though the open primary and undecided voters introduce residual uncertainty for the remaining contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カタリナ・ラウフ 83%
ジム・シュワーツェル 14.8%
ジム・オーバーワイス 1.7%
マディソン・コーソーン <1%
$79,204 Vol.
$79,204 Vol.
カタリナ・ラウフ
83%
ジム・シュワーツェル
15%
ジム・オーバーワイス
2%
マディソン・コーソーン
<1%
ボブ・ロメル
<1%
スペンサー・ローチ
<1%
カタリナ・ラウフ 83%
ジム・シュワーツェル 14.8%
ジム・オーバーワイス 1.7%
マディソン・コーソーン <1%
$79,204 Vol.
$79,204 Vol.
カタリナ・ラウフ
83%
ジム・シュワーツェル
15%
ジム・オーバーワイス
2%
マディソン・コーソーン
<1%
ボブ・ロメル
<1%
スペンサー・ローチ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf has sharply shifted trader consensus in the crowded Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, positioning her as the clear frontrunner at 82.5%. Earlier polling from Victory Insights and Cygnal showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel in a statistical tie in the mid-to-high teens, with Jim Oberweis in single digits amid a field of ten candidates vying to succeed Byron Donalds. Additional backing from Florida representatives Greg Steube and Kat Cammack, plus external support, has reinforced Lauf's momentum in the final days. This leaves limited room for late shifts, though the open primary and undecided voters introduce residual uncertainty for the remaining contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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