Ashley Moody, the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s Senate term, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% to win the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican primary. Her position stems from party establishment backing, including endorsements from figures like Rick Scott, combined with minimal opposition from lesser-known candidates such as Chris Gleason, Neelam Perry, and Ernie Rivera. These challengers lack substantial fundraising, polling presence, or organizational infrastructure in a state where Republican primaries typically favor sitting officeholders with gubernatorial ties. The primary occurs tomorrow, leaving little time for late developments to alter outcomes. Remote scenarios that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout surge favoring an alternative, though historical patterns in Florida Senate primaries show strong continuity for incumbents with unified party support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アシュリー・B・ムーディ 98.8%
マイケランジェロ・ハミルトン <1%
A.C.トゥルメ <1%
ジェイク・ラング <1%
$19,029 Vol.
$19,029 Vol.

アシュリー・B・ムーディ
99%

マイケランジェロ・ハミルトン
1%

A.C.トゥルメ
<1%

ジェイク・ラング
<1%
アシュリー・B・ムーディ 98.8%
マイケランジェロ・ハミルトン <1%
A.C.トゥルメ <1%
ジェイク・ラング <1%
$19,029 Vol.
$19,029 Vol.

アシュリー・B・ムーディ
99%

マイケランジェロ・ハミルトン
1%

A.C.トゥルメ
<1%

ジェイク・ラング
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody, the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s Senate term, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 98.8% to win the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican primary. Her position stems from party establishment backing, including endorsements from figures like Rick Scott, combined with minimal opposition from lesser-known candidates such as Chris Gleason, Neelam Perry, and Ernie Rivera. These challengers lack substantial fundraising, polling presence, or organizational infrastructure in a state where Republican primaries typically favor sitting officeholders with gubernatorial ties. The primary occurs tomorrow, leaving little time for late developments to alter outcomes. Remote scenarios that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout surge favoring an alternative, though historical patterns in Florida Senate primaries show strong continuity for incumbents with unified party support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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