Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance points to a Dallas high temperature of 88–90°F on May 16 under mostly sunny skies and southerly winds of 10–15 mph, establishing the 88–89°F bin as the market leader with a 39.5% implied probability. This outlook aligns with mid-May climatology, where the 1991–2020 normal high reaches 86°F, but recent warm advection has elevated expectations. Ensemble model spread remains modest, with afternoon mixing and any late-day cloud development the key variables that could keep the peak in the upper 80s or push it into the low 90s. Traders are watching the next NWS update for refinements ahead of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日のダラスの最高気温は?
5月16日のダラスの最高気温は?
88〜89°F 41%
86〜87°F 26%
90~91°F 26%
92°F以上 10%
$13,162 Vol.
$13,162 Vol.
華氏73度以下
<1%
74~75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
3%
86〜87°F
26%
88〜89°F
41%
90~91°F
26%
92°F以上
10%
88〜89°F 41%
86〜87°F 26%
90~91°F 26%
92°F以上 10%
$13,162 Vol.
$13,162 Vol.
華氏73度以下
<1%
74~75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
3%
86〜87°F
26%
88〜89°F
41%
90~91°F
26%
92°F以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance points to a Dallas high temperature of 88–90°F on May 16 under mostly sunny skies and southerly winds of 10–15 mph, establishing the 88–89°F bin as the market leader with a 39.5% implied probability. This outlook aligns with mid-May climatology, where the 1991–2020 normal high reaches 86°F, but recent warm advection has elevated expectations. Ensemble model spread remains modest, with afternoon mixing and any late-day cloud development the key variables that could keep the peak in the upper 80s or push it into the low 90s. Traders are watching the next NWS update for refinements ahead of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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