National Weather Service forecasts and leading global models like the GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime high near 76–78°F for Denver on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and afternoon mixing. This positions the 76–77°F outcome as the clear market favorite at 78% implied probability, with traders assigning only modest odds to an 78–79°F spike under any late-day warming. Historical May averages hover around 74–75°F, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture supports the consensus range, though minor model disagreements on boundary-layer temperatures could still nudge the final reading. Updated guidance is expected later today ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 94%
78-79°F 5%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$57,785 Vol.
$57,785 Vol.
2026/05/16
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
94%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 94%
78-79°F 5%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$57,785 Vol.
$57,785 Vol.
2026/05/16
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,093 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,826 Vol.
94%
78-79°F
$3,059 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$4,609 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$6,085 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and leading global models like the GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime high near 76–78°F for Denver on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and afternoon mixing. This positions the 76–77°F outcome as the clear market favorite at 78% implied probability, with traders assigning only modest odds to an 78–79°F spike under any late-day warming. Historical May averages hover around 74–75°F, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture supports the consensus range, though minor model disagreements on boundary-layer temperatures could still nudge the final reading. Updated guidance is expected later today ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$57,785終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and leading global models like the GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime high near 76–78°F for Denver on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and afternoon mixing. This positions the 76–77°F outcome as the clear market favorite at 78% implied probability, with traders assigning only modest odds to an 78–79°F spike under any late-day warming. Historical May averages hover around 74–75°F, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture supports the consensus range, though minor model disagreements on boundary-layer temperatures could still nudge the final reading. Updated guidance is expected later today ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$57,785終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and leading global models like the GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime high near 76–78°F for Denver on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and afternoon mixing. This positions the 76–77°F outcome as the clear market favorite at 78% implied probability, with traders assigning only modest odds to an 78–79°F spike under any late-day warming. Historical May averages hover around 74–75°F, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant moisture supports the consensus range, though minor model disagreements on boundary-layer temperatures could still nudge the final reading. Updated guidance is expected later today ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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