Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,330 Vol.
$47,330 Vol.
2026/05/13
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,330 Vol.
$47,330 Vol.
2026/05/13
25°C or below
$368 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,946 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,995 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,596 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,203 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,715 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,030 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,299 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,830 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$7,787 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$7,562 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$47,330終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$47,330終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 33°C high in Guangzhou on May 13, anchored by official hourly surface observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station (ZGGG), which recorded a midday peak of 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds enhancing solar insolation. This exceeds China Meteorological Administration preseason forecasts of around 28–30°C, likely due to a transient high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating beyond May climatological norms of 29–31°C. As evening progresses with temperatures now below 30°C and sunset nearing, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon convective lapse or measurement revision, with final daily data from CMA expected after 23:59 UTC+8.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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