Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 87%
27°C 10%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
新規
$19,948 Vol.
新規
$19,948 Vol.
2026/05/16
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
87%
28°C or higher 87%
27°C 10%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
新規
$19,948 Vol.
新規
$19,948 Vol.
2026/05/16
25°C
$3,100 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,534 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,940 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$2,706 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$19,948終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$19,948終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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