Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute point to a mild spring day in Helsinki, with daytime highs expected to peak near 16°C under a mix of sun and high cloud amid southerly airflow advecting milder Atlantic air. This aligns with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models showing surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 6–8°C, supported by moderate solar insolation and light winds that limit mixing. May climatology places the long-term average high near 15°C at Helsinki-Vantaa, so the current setup sits slightly above baseline yet remains capped by variable boundary-layer moisture and thin cloud timing. These factors explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 15–17°C, with 16°C as the consensus leader reflecting modest forecast uncertainty ahead of final station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
16°C 37%
15°C 24%
17°C 24%
18°C 7.8%
$15,428 Vol.
$15,428 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
24%
16°C
37%
17°C
24%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 37%
15°C 24%
17°C 24%
18°C 7.8%
$15,428 Vol.
$15,428 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
24%
16°C
37%
17°C
24%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute point to a mild spring day in Helsinki, with daytime highs expected to peak near 16°C under a mix of sun and high cloud amid southerly airflow advecting milder Atlantic air. This aligns with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models showing surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 6–8°C, supported by moderate solar insolation and light winds that limit mixing. May climatology places the long-term average high near 15°C at Helsinki-Vantaa, so the current setup sits slightly above baseline yet remains capped by variable boundary-layer moisture and thin cloud timing. These factors explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 15–17°C, with 16°C as the consensus leader reflecting modest forecast uncertainty ahead of final station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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