Official National Weather Service observations and station data from Houston-area airports recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 4 under persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies typical of late-summer patterns. This outcome aligned precisely with NOAA model consensus and climatological norms near the 94°F August average, driving the market to 100% implied probability on that bin. Trader positioning reflected confidence in verified measurements rather than forecasts, as resolution criteria hinge on official reported highs. Scenarios that could have shifted odds included unexpected cloud cover, a passing sea breeze, or measurement revisions at primary stations, though none materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
94〜95°F 100.0%
87°F以下 <1%
88〜89°F <1%
90~91°F <1%
$31,723 Vol.
$31,723 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90~91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
100%
96~97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100〜101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
<1%
94〜95°F 100.0%
87°F以下 <1%
88〜89°F <1%
90~91°F <1%
$31,723 Vol.
$31,723 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90~91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
100%
96~97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100〜101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service observations and station data from Houston-area airports recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 4 under persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies typical of late-summer patterns. This outcome aligned precisely with NOAA model consensus and climatological norms near the 94°F August average, driving the market to 100% implied probability on that bin. Trader positioning reflected confidence in verified measurements rather than forecasts, as resolution criteria hinge on official reported highs. Scenarios that could have shifted odds included unexpected cloud cover, a passing sea breeze, or measurement revisions at primary stations, though none materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問