**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover from thundershowers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow on August 31.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance forecasts generally cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rain or thunderstorms, limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that typically holds daytime highs near 31–32 °C. Recent observations show Aug 29 reaching 33.5 °C before similar convective activity; climatological August maxima average 33–34 °C but drop several degrees under active monsoon conditions. Model consensus across global and regional guidance indicates light winds and high humidity (dew points near 26–27 °C), reducing the likelihood of brief clear periods that could push readings to 33 °C or above. With resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of afternoon convection, the narrow spread in market-implied odds around 30–32 °C reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final IMD updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のラクナウの最高気温は?
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover from thundershowers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow on August 31.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance forecasts generally cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rain or thunderstorms, limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that typically holds daytime highs near 31–32 °C. Recent observations show Aug 29 reaching 33.5 °C before similar convective activity; climatological August maxima average 33–34 °C but drop several degrees under active monsoon conditions. Model consensus across global and regional guidance indicates light winds and high humidity (dew points near 26–27 °C), reducing the likelihood of brief clear periods that could push readings to 33 °C or above. With resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of afternoon convection, the narrow spread in market-implied odds around 30–32 °C reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final IMD updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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