National Weather Service observations and regional model consensus recorded a daily high of 88–89°F at Miami International Airport on May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-spring humidity. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 85°F and excursions above 90°F remain uncommon without strong subtropical ridging or suppressed sea breezes. Traders assigned near-certain probability to the 88–89°F bin because official station data and post-event verification left little room for upward revision. A shift would require either a measurement error at the primary reporting site or an unusually localized urban heat-island spike not captured by the airport thermometer—both low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$85,417 Vol.
$85,417 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$85,417 Vol.
$85,417 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service observations and regional model consensus recorded a daily high of 88–89°F at Miami International Airport on May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-spring humidity. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 85°F and excursions above 90°F remain uncommon without strong subtropical ridging or suppressed sea breezes. Traders assigned near-certain probability to the 88–89°F bin because official station data and post-event verification left little room for upward revision. A shift would require either a measurement error at the primary reporting site or an unusually localized urban heat-island spike not captured by the airport thermometer—both low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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