Traders show near parity between 22°C and 21°C as Milan’s highest temperature today because ensemble forecasts place the peak within a narrow 1°C window amid variable spring conditions. Official guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicates daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with maximums influenced by light southerly flow and limited moisture. Historical May averages near 22°C provide baseline context, yet short-term fluctuations in cloud timing and urban heat retention create genuine uncertainty that keeps the two leading outcomes separated by just 6.5 percentage points. Updated model runs later today will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のミラノの最高気温は?
22°C 44%
21°C 35%
20°C 12%
23°C 9%
$13,709 Vol.
$13,709 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
35%
22°C
44%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 35%
20°C 12%
23°C 9%
$13,709 Vol.
$13,709 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
35%
22°C
44%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders show near parity between 22°C and 21°C as Milan’s highest temperature today because ensemble forecasts place the peak within a narrow 1°C window amid variable spring conditions. Official guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicates daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with maximums influenced by light southerly flow and limited moisture. Historical May averages near 22°C provide baseline context, yet short-term fluctuations in cloud timing and urban heat retention create genuine uncertainty that keeps the two leading outcomes separated by just 6.5 percentage points. Updated model runs later today will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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