Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor with strong backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against a crowded field including sitting members of Congress, giving her broad name recognition and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for his party in Illinois. Polling aggregates and forecasts align with the market's implied probabilities, reflecting limited competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or health event involving either candidate remain the primary variables that could alter the race's trajectory before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,066 Vol.
$31,066 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
97%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
3%
$31,066 Vol.
$31,066 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
$16,617 Vol.
97%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
$14,449 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor with strong backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against a crowded field including sitting members of Congress, giving her broad name recognition and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for his party in Illinois. Polling aggregates and forecasts align with the market's implied probabilities, reflecting limited competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or health event involving either candidate remain the primary variables that could alter the race's trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$31,066終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor with strong backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against a crowded field including sitting members of Congress, giving her broad name recognition and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for his party in Illinois. Polling aggregates and forecasts align with the market's implied probabilities, reflecting limited competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or health event involving either candidate remain the primary variables that could alter the race's trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$31,066終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton's commanding position in the 2026 U.S. Senate race to succeed retiring incumbent Dick Durbin. As lieutenant governor with strong backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker, Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against a crowded field including sitting members of Congress, giving her broad name recognition and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for his party in Illinois. Polling aggregates and forecasts align with the market's implied probabilities, reflecting limited competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a national political shift, major scandal, or health event involving either candidate remain the primary variables that could alter the race's trajectory before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問