Iran’s continued insistence that uranium enrichment is a non-negotiable right has anchored trader expectations against any agreement to halt the activity by June 30. In recent rounds of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan, Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami have reiterated that enrichment limits fall outside acceptable terms, even as broader discussions address sanctions relief and the aftermath of prior U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities. U.S. proposals for a moratorium or full cessation remain unresolved, with Tehran prioritizing verification of its stockpile and regional security guarantees first. These positions, reinforced by statements through mid-May, have sustained the market’s 80.5 percent probability that no such commitment will be reached within the current negotiation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,381,994 Vol.
$1,381,994 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$1,381,994 Vol.
$1,381,994 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s continued insistence that uranium enrichment is a non-negotiable right has anchored trader expectations against any agreement to halt the activity by June 30. In recent rounds of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan, Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami have reiterated that enrichment limits fall outside acceptable terms, even as broader discussions address sanctions relief and the aftermath of prior U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities. U.S. proposals for a moratorium or full cessation remain unresolved, with Tehran prioritizing verification of its stockpile and regional security guarantees first. These positions, reinforced by statements through mid-May, have sustained the market’s 80.5 percent probability that no such commitment will be reached within the current negotiation window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
音量
$1,381,994終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s continued insistence that uranium enrichment is a non-negotiable right has anchored trader expectations against any agreement to halt the activity by June 30. In recent rounds of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan, Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami have reiterated that enrichment limits fall outside acceptable terms, even as broader discussions address sanctions relief and the aftermath of prior U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities. U.S. proposals for a moratorium or full cessation remain unresolved, with Tehran prioritizing verification of its stockpile and regional security guarantees first. These positions, reinforced by statements through mid-May, have sustained the market’s 80.5 percent probability that no such commitment will be reached within the current negotiation window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,381,994終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s continued insistence that uranium enrichment is a non-negotiable right has anchored trader expectations against any agreement to halt the activity by June 30. In recent rounds of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan, Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami have reiterated that enrichment limits fall outside acceptable terms, even as broader discussions address sanctions relief and the aftermath of prior U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities. U.S. proposals for a moratorium or full cessation remain unresolved, with Tehran prioritizing verification of its stockpile and regional security guarantees first. These positions, reinforced by statements through mid-May, have sustained the market’s 80.5 percent probability that no such commitment will be reached within the current negotiation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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