Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum of 17–18°C overnight into August 27 for London, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 17°C or below. Trader consensus clustering near 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention, with higher-resolution runs showing modest model spread around dawn minima. Historical August lows near 15°C underscore how the current unsettled pattern elevates the floor relative to climatology, keeping lower outcomes thinly traded ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月27日のロンドンの最低気温は？
19°C 41%
18°C 40%
17℃ 13%
20°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
41%
20°C
10%
21℃
3%
22°C
1%
23°C以上
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 40%
17℃ 13%
20°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
13℃以下
$25 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$20 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
1%
17℃
$147 Vol.
13%
18°C
$539 Vol.
40%
19°C
$736 Vol.
41%
20°C
$318 Vol.
10%
21℃
$180 Vol.
3%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C以上
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum of 17–18°C overnight into August 27 for London, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 17°C or below. Trader consensus clustering near 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention, with higher-resolution runs showing modest model spread around dawn minima. Historical August lows near 15°C underscore how the current unsettled pattern elevates the floor relative to climatology, keeping lower outcomes thinly traded ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$2,045終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum of 17–18°C overnight into August 27 for London, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 17°C or below. Trader consensus clustering near 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention, with higher-resolution runs showing modest model spread around dawn minima. Historical August lows near 15°C underscore how the current unsettled pattern elevates the floor relative to climatology, keeping lower outcomes thinly traded ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,045終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum of 17–18°C overnight into August 27 for London, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 17°C or below. Trader consensus clustering near 18–19°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local urban heat retention, with higher-resolution runs showing modest model spread around dawn minima. Historical August lows near 15°C underscore how the current unsettled pattern elevates the floor relative to climatology, keeping lower outcomes thinly traded ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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